ITRC strategy blueprint: Combining sector headline strategies to generate the ITRC strategy portfolio

ITRC

Abstract

  • The ITRC assessment aims to test performance (and robustness) across a range of future conditions (scenarios) of long-term strategies for national infrastructure provision.
  • Scenarios are generated from variables exogenous to the analysis: changes to the national and global economy, demographic changes and environmental changes.
  • A range of headline infrastructure strategies are proposed, effecting change in infrastructure use and provision across two main dimensions: changes in demand management, and changes in capacity provision (through changes to system efficiencies or infrastructure composition).
  • Changes in capacity provision imply a range of different capital investment levels.
  • Short-term (to 2030) and long-term (to 2050 and beyond ) strategies are combined to give a range of strategy options over time for each sector.
  • Two nexuses are considered: Energy-Transport and Energy-Water.
  • The sector strategies for these nexuses are combined according to the energy demand implications of each future transport or water strategy (e.g. a particular transport strategy with very high electricity demand expectations can only be combined with energy strategy futures where electricity generation is appropriately high).
  • Waste is assumed to be largely independent of other sectors.
  • A small number of cross-sector strategy combinations are suggested.

ITRC strategy blueprint: Combining sector headline strategies to generate the ITRC strategy portfolio (pdf, 1000 KB). ITRC, University of Oxford, UK, 2012.

Authors

ITRC