13–15 November 2017, Oxford
The Society for Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) is an association of professionals working to improve decision-making under deep uncertainty.
DMDU’s annual workshop will be held in Oxford, UK, and will have a focus on the practical application of DMDU methodologies. The workshop will be preceded by a training day on DMDU methodologies on 13 November 2017. Dinner on the evening of 14 November will be held in Oxford’s historic Museum of Natural History.
- Call for abstracts – extended deadline for abstracts 09 June 2017
- DMDU 2017 workshop theme – DMDU across multiple scales
- Workshop programme
- DMDU Society international training day – 13 November 2017
- International Advisory Committee
Call for abstracts – now closed
DMDU 2017 workshop theme: dealing with deep uncertainty in decision making across multiple scales
This year’s workshop will tackle the challenges of decision making at many different scales from the perspective of deep uncertainty. The theme of multiple scales embraces spatial scales, temporal scales and the governance issues that they create.
Challenges for decision making under deep uncertainty can arise from the interaction between spatial scales including:
- Global: including issues of climate change mitigation, resource exploitation, finance and security
- National: including macro-economics, infrastructure investment, innovation, social policy and civil protection
- Regional and catchment scale: including water resources management and regional economic development
- City-scale: including adaptation to climate change, local energy systems, and transportation and mobility.
Challenges for decision making under deep uncertainty can also arise from interaction between temporal scales including:
- Short-term and real-time problems, where information is scarce and time for decision making is constrained.
- Longer-term policy, planning and investment problems, whose success is contingent upon future changes that are very hard to predict.
Workshop day 1: 14 November 2017
|Morning||Global scale keynote: decision analysis for navigating uncharted territories|
|Poster session: global scale issues.|
|Problem-solving session – defence and security|
|National scale keynote: UK national infrastructure assessment and plenary discussion|
|Afternoon||Problem-solving session: DMDU in emergency and real time situations|
|Poster session: insights from the cutting edge of DMDU|
|Parallel session: insights from the cutting edge of DMDU (1)|
|Tools and models demonstration showcase|
|Dinner||Reception and dinner in the Oxford Museum of Natural History|
Workshop day 2: 15 November 2017
|Morning||City-scale keynote and plenary discussion|
|Regional and city-scale parallel sessions|
|Poster session: regional and city-scale issues|
|Discussion session: lessons/challenges from different regional and city contexts|
|Afternoon||Parallel session: insights from the cutting edge of DMDU (2)|
|Feedback from parallel sessions.
Discussion – mapping the cutting edge in DMDU
|Reflections on workshop and plans for 2018|
|Workshop close, 5pm|
DMDU Society international training day
13 November 2017, Oxford
This training session will provide guidance for those who wish to apply DMDU tools to the analytical problems they face. But just as importantly, the agenda also seeks to help people working with the output of DMDU tools, so that they might derive better understanding and value in applying these results.
For people attending both the training day and the workshop, the training will support their more engaged workshop participation.
For participants who will not be attending the subsequent workshop, it will provide an overview of the developing DMDU field with exposure to core concepts, current discourse and leading tools and applications.
The workshop will give equal weight to overview presentations, hands-on demonstrations and plenary discussion among the participants and with leading DMDU practitioners.