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Assessing water resource system vulnerability to unprecedented hydrological drought using copulas to characterize drought duration and deficit

by Vance Tan | Sep 14, 2020

Global climate models suggest an increase in evapotranspiration, changing storm tracks, and moisture delivery in many parts of the world, which are likely to cause more prolonged and severe drought, yet the weakness of climate models in modeling persistence of...

Trading-off tolerable risk with climate change adaptation costs in water supply systems

by Vance Tan | Sep 14, 2020

Choosing secure water resource management plans inevitably requires trade‐offs between risks (for a variety of stakeholders), costs, and other impacts. We have previously argued that water resources planning should focus upon metrics of risk of water restrictions,...

Resilience of water resource systems: lessons from the UK, Water Security

by Vance Tan | Sep 14, 2020

We explore the triumvirate of resilience – ‘persistence’, ‘adaptability’ and ‘transformability’ – in the context of England’s water supply infrastructure system. Risk-based decision-making and simulation models are increasingly being used to guide water resource...

Risk‐based water resources planning in practice: a blueprint for the water industry in England

by Vance Tan | Sep 14, 2020

Resilient water supplies in England need to be secured in the face of challenges of population growth, climate change and environmental sustainability. We propose a blueprint for water resources planning that uses system simulation modelling to estimate the frequency,...

Drought and climate change impacts on cooling water shortages and electricity prices in Great Britain

by Vance Tan | Sep 14, 2020

The risks of cooling water shortages to thermo-electric power plants are increasingly studied as an important climate risk to the energy sector. Whilst electricity transmission networks reduce the risks during disruptions, more costly plants must provide alternative...
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