NEWS

A deep decarbonization scenario of the UK energy system with demand-side options and renewable energy

Jul 28, 2014

This talk was awarded Best Presentation Prize at the conference amongst more than 1000 presentations.

Abstract

With a legally binding commitment of 80% CO2 reduction by 2050, UK’s energy system warrants a deep decarbonisation drive within decades. Past UK energy system transition scenarios approached this transition with a supply-centric approach. In electricity that often meant centralized low-carbon generation options, such as nuclear power plants and offshore wind farms, meeting majority demand. In this study, using a suite of bespoke end-use demand and energy supply infrastructure expansion planning models, we present two transition scenarios aimed at decarbonisation. The first scenario envisions high electrification of heating and transport services and powering the energy system with low carbon electricity, while the other envisions a balanced uptake of energy conservation and efficiency, electrification, microgeneration and large-scale renewable energy. The analysis focused on electricity and gas demand and supply in the island of Great Britain within the UK. When compared with a reference scenario, the balanced approach is found to have the higher potential to reduce overall energy demand along with the demand for electricity and gas, whereas the electrification approach increases total and peak electricity demand by 35% and ~90% respectively over reference by 2050. Supply side implications to meet the demands are tested with nuclear, CCS, offshore wind as well as a balanced mix of major supply-side options. The chosen mixes in the two scenarios could largely meet the power sector decarbonisation goal with varying cost, stranded asset, governance and supply chain implications.

A deep decarbonization scenario of the UK energy system with demand-side options and renewable energy (pdf, 380 KB). Proceedings of Grand Renewable Energy 2014 International Conference, Tokyo, Japan.

Authors

Baruah, P., Eyre, N., Qadrdan, M., Chaudry, M., Hall, J.

LATEST NEWS

Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure (CDRI) Fellowship Programme

Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure (CDRI) Fellowship Programme

The Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure (CDRI) is promoting the programme to further the coverage of fellowships within all CDRI member countries and ensure high-quality research ... read more

Getting animated about the business impacts of extreme weather

Getting animated about the business impacts of extreme weather

Weather-related disasters are creating huge economic strain across the globe, with many businesses requiring climate risk calculations to help manage financial growth and prevent losses. ... read more

Lena Fuldauer awarded 1st prize in the Allianz Climate Risk Research Award

Lena Fuldauer awarded 1st prize in the Allianz Climate Risk Research Award

Congratulations to Lena Fuldauer (ITRC Researcher and PhD student at the Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University) who has won 1st prize in the Allianz Climate Risk Research Awards. The ... read more

RESEARCH THEMES

ENERGY
TRANSPORT
WATER
DIGITAL COMMUNICATIONS
DEMOGRAPHICS
URBAN
DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMICS
INFRASTRUCTURE
GOVERNANCE
NISMOD
RISK AND
RESILIENCE
RESEARCH SOFTWARE ENGINEERING
DATABASES